Is this the new cyber normal?

(drew.silcock.dev)

102 points | by drewsberry 2 hours ago

36 comments

  • thaumaturgy 38 minutes ago
    There are two aspects: first that there is currently a much higher pace of critical vulnerabilities and exploits being discovered, and second that there is a much shorter window between discovery and large-scale exploitation.

    People are saying the pace will settle down once LLMs find and fix all the bugs. Okay, sure, if you want to believe that sort of thing, but that still leaves the much shorter time window, and that's not going to go away anytime soon.

    If you're on the side of the industry where your job or hobby involves breaking things, this is all very exciting. But if you're on the side of the industry where your job is to prevent things from being broken, then it really sucks.

    I lost a full day yesterday because some big players discovered a thing, told other big players about it, "oopsed" enough public information to let everyone else know about it, and then left everyone else to figure out what to do with almost no information to act upon.

    This cycle has happened several times this year now. If you're on the short list of big hosting providers, you get advance notice of what's coming and early fixes; if you're not, sucks to be you, hope you didn't have any plans today.

    For people like me, this is just yet one more way LLMs are making my life materially worse.

    • __MatrixMan__ 0 minutes ago
      The web as we know it was never securable. LLMs made it obvious. Eventually we'll get fed up with the quick fixes and design something better. The question is how much pain are we prepared to tolerate in the interim.
    • wasabinator 30 minutes ago
      > People are saying the pace will settle down once LLMs find and fix all the bugs

      Yeah I don't buy it either. Look at github right now, it is a total slopfest with people vibing projects they don't know the first thing about. Plenty of LLM use will be delivering code full of new exploits. It will be interesting to see the frequency of these exploits being found correlated to LLM friendly/unfriendly contribution policies once the dust has settled to tell for certain though.

      • linuxftw 13 minutes ago
        That may be true, but we're talking about core library vulnerabilities that major projects use, not one-off's that nobody else cares about.
    • ilogik 21 minutes ago
      > But if you're on the side of the industry where your job is to prevent things from being broken, then it really sucks.

      It's called job security :)

      • californical 8 minutes ago
        That’s job security in the same way that a building maintenance guy gets job security from somebody filling the toilets with garbage everyday and flooding the bathrooms

        Like sure it’s true that you’re more necessary now, but when you took the job you weren’t expecting to need to be elbow deep in shit every day, and you’d probably prefer to go back to the days of changing lightbulbs and vacuuming hallways

    • shevy-java 19 minutes ago
      > For people like me, this is just yet one more way LLMs are making my life materially worse.

      AI skynet is killing humans. We know that already though.

    • tomaskafka 25 minutes ago
      > first that there is currently a much higher pace of critical vulnerabilities and exploits being discovered

      The slowest that will ever be.

      > second that there is a much shorter window between discovery and large-scale exploitation.

      The longest that will ever be.

      Aren’t exponentials beautiful?

  • ChrisMarshallNY 43 minutes ago
    I have often whined about the quality (or lack, thereof) of today's software, but I certainly have no room to be smug. I recently turned an LLM loose on a number of mature packages that I wrote, and would have sworn were "perfect," and it found issues (thankfully, none, serious, but issues, nonetheless).

    I think LLMs are a gamechanger. I was just talking to a friend of mine, last night, and he pointed out that it would have been quite difficult for a human (on their own) to find the PHP2Shell issue, but he thinks that multiple LLMs probably found it (it seems that some people knew about it before it was initially "discovered").

    I think that we, as programmers, need to run LLMs on our own code -no matter what we think of them, for authoring the code- and do everything we can, to batten down the hatches.

    • pixl97 19 minutes ago
      >of today's software

      There is tons of old software still around you can use your LLM to poke at. You'll see that it was crap too. Software has always sucked, very little of it has been formally verified or built.

      I remember accidentally finding buffer overflows in Netware in school but I had no idea what that actually was at the time.

    • bunderbunder 8 minutes ago
      I’d like to push back on the idea that this bug would have been quite difficult for a human to discover. I’m not much of a C programmer these days, but I’ve known longjmp to be a code smell for decades now. The reasons why were broadly covered in a 1968 CACM letter to the editor by Dijkstra that we’ve all certainly heard about. Though possibly not everyone makes the connection because if all you know of the article is its title then you can perhaps be forgiven for thinking it was only talking about one language keyword in particular.

      What I’m getting at is that this PHP bug was adorned with marquee lights and sirens and a giant sign saying, “Hey, look here!”

      That said, when that code was written 20 years ago they could perhaps be forgiven for this approach to handling OOM. The alternatives apparently come with a pretty decent performance penalty, and culture around memory safety wasn’t as strong then as it is now. But in 2026 there is an argument to be made that exploits are so common and damage potential is so high that we need to take the same mindset that flight control software developers have in their coding standards: some ways of doing them are dangerous enough that simply using them is a defect, even when they work exactly as intended, because they are just too hard to reason about.

    • GuB-42 7 minutes ago
      My experience exactly, and also Linus Torvalds experience apparently, leading to a controversial and I think misunderstood take on AI-assisted coding.

      Way too many people do the parallel LLM assistance = vibe-coding, opponents call it slop, proponents claim increased productivity. But vibe coding is just one aspect, but to me, analysis is where it shines, at least when quality matters.

      We have static analyzers and sanitizers, sometimes fuzzers, which I think are essential to serious development work. Now, I think we can add LLMs to the list.

      We blame AI for many evils, like a lack of understanding, code ownership, poor quality output, etc... This is the complete opposite, here the AI is not there to do the thinking for you, instead it says "here look, have your thought about this?", what to do next is up to you, you are in full control of the situation. It also makes development slower instead of faster, again, the opposite of what people claim AI does. But to me, it is the good kind of slow, as in "slow and steady wins the race".

  • thomascgalvin 1 hour ago
    Everything I've read indicates that yes, this is the new normal.

    When Mythos was first announced, pretty much every security expert I talk to freaked directly out. A significant portion of my job now revolves around mitigating the impact of AI-generated exploits.

    The rate at which we're churning out AI-generated code is going to make this worse, too, because AI-generated code is kind of notoriously terrible at security.

    • silveraxe93 1 hour ago
      _Is_ AI generated code notoriously terrible at security?

      My experience with AI-code is that it's extremely defensive and good at minimizing 'obvious' mistakes.

      Are we comparing to old models generating code? Or mythos-class models?

      • nine_k 1 hour ago
        It very much depends on how you generate it, from prompting to test suites, but most importantly, your attitude. The extra security costs you time and money.

        There are still folks, many of them, who think that time to market is everything, and anything beside it should be ignored. "It compiles? Ship it!" is a phrase from 1990s; LLMs just make this approach much easier. We will have plenty of machine-generated software with the security posture of a colander hit by a buckshot.

        • palata 24 minutes ago
          Most software is written without giving a thought to security. Because security is a source of cost. That was the case before LLMs, I don't think it will change with LLMs.

          Now I wonder: given that the LLMs are steered by the companies who own them, doesn't it mean that they can somehow make security better? It cuts both ways obviously: that a company can read and generate a large part of the code in the world is a risk.

          As an open source maintainer, I can most definitely tell you that the quality of the average PR is now better. The problem I am facing is more that some people tend to "flood" and misuse AI in different ways. But their AI writes better code than they do.

        • athrowaway3z 43 minutes ago
          Its not entirely a prompt issue, but also what it was trained on.

          Nowadays, the frontier is pretty decent all around, but it used to be generated php/javascript was questionable, ts was a bit better, and Rust was consistently decent.

          Even just setting the max width of your README to 80 chars vs using full markdown could get you very different C code.

          My take is that its pretty easy to write _much_ more secure code; use fewer dependencies and the ones you have should only do what you need them to do with no superfluous unused code compiled in. Configuring that used to be too much work, now its a single prompt.

        • metrix 49 minutes ago
          I think that even worse is that AI might choose just to write something, and skip using a library that is well maintained
          • acomjean 40 minutes ago
            Or use an out of date library.

            In our somewhat “developer assisted” AI development it planned to use a library. We looked the library up and the GitHub page indicated it was “no longer maintained use other library Z”. When told AI agreed and compared the original to the new library (helpful), but it seemed to heavily weight GitHub stars more than active development.

            • pixl97 16 minutes ago
              Tools like SCA and SBOM are still needed to ensure your stuff isn't out of date. That's not exactly a problem an LLM solves.
            • LtWorf 34 minutes ago
              When a project talks about how many stars they have, I immediately mistrust them.

              Usually download counters and stars are signals for VC, which indirectly serve also as negative signals to me.

          • nine_k 40 minutes ago
            This is where a human with a discerning taste and wide knowledge of the field should notice it during a review, or at least instruct their agents to check for that. If such a human is still employed in this capacity, of course.
          • cassonmars 44 minutes ago
            that can sometimes be a plus considering how dependencies used by a lot of projects are themselves targets
      • Helmut10001 1 hour ago
        It is not just code, it is also deploying Software. I constantly have to correct or steer the 'ai' in conversations towards safer directions or better following even the most basic security principles. Here I feel it is still more the overambitious intern that needs to be carefully overseen, but has a lot of time and energy at hand.
      • DrBazza 1 hour ago
        Physician heal thyself?

        Tell an LLM to break into its own system as part of a feed back loop, but with no context of the initial creation? It should iteratively get to 'safe' shouldn't it (subject to the tokens you want to spend)?

        • pixl97 16 minutes ago
          Depends where it is blind at.
      • binary0010 32 minutes ago
        Yeah they are pretty bad at it still, latest models tried to ship a basic SQL injection flaw. Was also happy to build out an xss flawed module end-to-end. Definitely have to keep a close eye on it.

        My vibe code friends have pretty much infinite security issues. Don't even have basic data modeling at client-server boundaries or anything. Also had Google analytics embed that read and saved everyone's credit card details as clear text in analytics.

        Seems to make pretty much infinite mistakes if you don't take care and tell it what not to do or how to build certain features.

      • NoboruWataya 1 hour ago
        What models are people actually using to pump out code? That is the relevant comparison, not the absolute best in class models.
      • CER10TY 1 hour ago
        It's been shown to be bad at secure coding _unless_ you specifically prompt models to watch out for common vulnerabilities, at which point they're actually quite good at containing the issues, though the studies here are somewhat older (eg https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.03622).

        The issue then is that most people aren't actually good at keeping an eye out for security issues in code proactively, so things slip through the cracks (whether human-written or not), just at a much accelerated pace.

        • thomashabets2 1 hour ago
          That study is from 2022, with at most a last update 2023? (if I read it right)

          I'm not at all saying that "oh 3 weeks ago, discard", but three years ago absolutely has a "before and after".

          Three years ago AI generated code could basically not be used at all, and I had to rewrite just about every line. Today I have to watch out for generated code making steps in the wrong strategic and architectural direction, and over engineering, no longer hallucinating nonexisting APIs and forgetting to check the auth token.

          I still look for those kinds of mistakes, but I think citing a 2022 paper for "can AI do X" is not useful.

        • spockz 1 hour ago
          It just means that the safeguard we put in place over decades of software engineering with humans also need to remain in place when engineering with agents.

          Having properly validated libs with separate concerns and a lot of eyeballs (and agent sensors) on the code so that it can be integrated cleanly in other products. Static code analysis for our apps. System prompts that require output to be secure, etc.

          All of these practices that have been touted to be obsolete because agents can now just generate tailor made code just when and where you need, are anything but obsolete. On the contrary, they are paramount to the future of software engineering.

        • silveraxe93 1 hour ago
          from your paper:

          > Overall, we find that participants who had access to an AI assistant based on OpenAI's codex-davinci-002 model wrote significantly less secure code than those without access.

          That model came out in March 2022, it's GPT-3.5 !!!

          I'm sorry but it's absurd to use that as evidence for anything related to AI coding today.

          You can't just hedge by saying "it's somewhat older". It's like discussing dunno a new train connection between cities and citing a paper measure steam locomotives.

          • CER10TY 1 hour ago
            Hence why I said the studies here are quite old, and I'd like to see something more recent, though I guess it'll be some time before that's done.

            I think most people writing code with AI nowadays will find it's still lacking in some areas. Not because the model isn't good (definitely miles ahead than what we had access to in 2022-2023), just because it wasn't actively mentioned and so the model skipped over it. The same will apply to security.

            • silveraxe93 1 hour ago
              I'd also love to see recent studies. It's frustrating how even new studies end up using models which are behind the frontier at the time of publishing.

              AI is advancing faster than academia can keep up. Which in general shouldn't matter. But you have this pattern where a paper comes out with a conclusion that just doesn't hold anymore by the time it's read, but people use it to form/support opinions.

          • tytho 1 hour ago
            I agree that we can’t compare older models to newer ones, but how much code was generated during those months/years when the models weren’t good at secure code? How much is still running publicly today? It’s still worth considering the impact to the overall ecosystem.
            • thomashabets2 1 hour ago
              Luckily we have newer models going back and fixing these things.

              In terms of the set of all bugs, the AIs from 2022-2023 pale in comparison with the amount of bugs written by hand in previous half century, even if 2022 AIs were worse than the average programmer.

      • cyanydeez 1 hour ago
        like most software, do you assume people are driving lamborghinis, or the cheapest make and model they can find...
    • throw101010 46 minutes ago
      Can you explain the asymmetry you are claiming that exists where some models would be excellent at finding faults in code/systems and exploiting them often through coding the required tools to exploit them... but at the same time they would be bad at avoiding this kind of faults when coding the system itself?

      Feels like you should be able to prompt the kind of exploits you want to prevent and the model should be able to make the system secured against them, no?

      • Kamq 43 minutes ago
        When you know you're looking for an exploit, it's easily verifiable and you can iterate fairly rapidly and get fast feedback, you can just have a test that you don't get a 403 back or something. LLMs, in general, seem good at problems like this.

        When you're developing, there's a ton of degrees of freedom, and security encompasses only some of them. To be sure, if you set up a quickly verifiable test for every security flaw, you could probably get LLMs to satisfy them somehow, but there's a lot of those, and it's not necessarily practical.

    • hnlmorg 1 hour ago
      You just need to use AI to test your AI code.

      (What a wonderful new world we live in)

      • e12e 1 hour ago
        I know you're joking - but I think it will remain a challenge.

        Quality and Security are emergent properties of software - especially when considering software-as-deployed in the real world.

        And the problems with "good taste" and good architecture and data modelling - will probably leave ai code open to a lot of issues (Claude code cli issues is a great example of how bad this can get).

        Having good architects in charge can help - but it requires a lot of discipline to keep the feature set small so that maintaining quality and security become feasible.

      • silveraxe93 1 hour ago
        It _is_ wonderful. You're never required to adopt software engineering best practices, but eventually everyone does because either it makes our lives easier or code better.

        Having tests / CI pipelines, etc are the same thing? Now you can choose to add a cheap step in your pipeline checking if e.g. some engineer did something stupid like allow SQL injections.

        The floor of software quality once it gets to review is permanently raised.

      • doublerabbit 1 hour ago
        Dystopian days, where you will be forced to write some syntax, that is then handed off to a an Ai tester. The tester will return it to you ready for handing the code to three frontier Ai's. The judges of code.

        They approve your code, gold, if not; back to the coding machine and minus 1000 human tokens. This will be done via the implants of brain chips

        • mr_mitm 1 hour ago
          Wait, when did brain chips enter the picture?
          • pixl97 12 minutes ago
            Elon chipped all of us when we weren't paying attention.
        • silveraxe93 1 hour ago
          I really don't get the issue here. Is the rust borrow checker dystopian?

          You're forced to write syntax that appeases the tester. If they are not happy you need to return and rewrite.

          As software engineering matures, we're adding more linting and static checkers in codebases. This is generally considered good.

          • chii 1 hour ago
            > You're forced to write syntax that appeases the tester. If they are not happy you need to return and rewrite.

            that's called the write/compile/check loop

            but if suddenly it's ai, people freakout at having to do this?

            • LtWorf 31 minutes ago
              It was never the skilled way of doing things.

              Also an AI is not a compiler, stop saying that.

    • Gareth321 1 hour ago
      > The rate at which we're churning out AI-generated code is going to make this worse, too, because AI-generated code is kind of notoriously terrible at security.

      I think this was true in the past but AI is helping us finding exploits which have been in our code for many years. All out there by humans. We’re seeing fewer customer reported issues, and despite the pen tests getting far more rigorous, we’re passing all of them. Obviously this is one data point, but I’m hearing similar things from my friends in security and ops.

    • mbesto 12 minutes ago
      > The rate at which we're churning out AI-generated code is going to make this worse, too, because AI-generated code is kind of notoriously terrible at security.

      This seems incongruent with what we're witnessing. Right now we're witnessing vulnerabilities that are 6 years old be exposed. That code wasn't generated by AI slop.

      Security has always been about attacker/defender symmetry. So if the attacker has an LLM so does the defender. Reality is, the tax is getting higher as security tooling extracts more perceived value.

    • _superposition_ 58 minutes ago
      Agreed. Shouldn't continuous pen testing be a thing by now?
    • salviati 54 minutes ago
      > because AI-generated code is kind of notoriously terrible at security.

      and vaccines notoriously cause autism. But you might investigate why that belief is so widespread and you might not believe it that much anymore.

      Can you point at something specifically that indicates this statement is true?

    • thatsabadlook 1 hour ago
      Yea most the people I know working in cyber security weren't worried about mythos in a serious way. All the people selling cyber products spread fear over it because profit.Everyone knows there are exploits laying in wait. Always has been always will be.

      Most the cyber security people I know were upset once llms came out that could do basic os int and author their own emails, and mimic speech/video. That's how the majority of real losses occur. No one even talks about it. It's mind numbing hearing about the zebras and unicorns when there are 10 billion ants entering houses a year. Exotic stuff sells...

      Now lots of sane people are genuinely and correctly worried that turning all engineers into 24/7 sloppers is and will continue to make the world far more exploitable. That's the real risk as far as I can tell

      • edukite 53 minutes ago
        I have the same experience. Most of articles I read was reducing it to "just a tool, nothing more"
    • nephihaha 1 hour ago
      "New normal"? Is that phrase back again? It was heavily pushed in 2020.
      • marmarama 1 hour ago
        Talking about the new normal is the new normal.
    • dgellow 46 minutes ago
      Let’s not forget the AI industry developed the technology and infrastructure for that security nightmare to exists. And no, none of that was inevitable. At every single step the AI leadership took decisions that makes it more likely that we face the current threats
    • verdverm 1 hour ago
      > The rate at which we're churning out AI-generated code is going to make this worse

      Not only this, a significant number of developers have stopped looking at code, trusting the bots. I've seen major security regressions, bot rolled auth implementations, and falsified benchmarks... just this last week, all in projects that get hyped.

      Rule #2 - do not blindly trust Ai output

      https://susam.net/inverse-laws-of-robotics.html

      • user43928 57 minutes ago
        It's not stupid if it works.

        Concretely, I would like to see it benchmarked:

        Have Opus 5.5 implement the authentication, with a 6.1 Sol reviewer. Out of 100 times, how often is the result insecure?

        I wouldn't be surprised if it's zero times.

        There is also the possibility of specifically prompting for a security audit on top, which would perhaps further lower the risk of overlooked issues.

        Now one can say that due to the non-deterministic nature of the tools, there is always a non-zero chance of producing insecure implementation.

        That's not really important here - obviously manual review isn't deterministic either, the risk will never be zero.

        • verdverm 44 minutes ago
          The way the bots fundamentally work means that we can never trust their output. We have ample cases at work where bots catch human mistakes and humans catch bot mistakes. The important aspect here is not completely handing things over to the bots.

          > I wouldn't be surprised if it's zero times.

          Statements like this concern me.

          • user43928 6 minutes ago
            If you're so concerned you can create such a benchmark and show us all how wrong my guess is.

            Instead I mostly read such opinions based on active imagination and no concrete experience with using AI for such work in a setup as described.

  • u8 1 hour ago
    This is the new playing field, but this game can't last forever. Most software is not churning through a software factory of endless patches and releases. Most software, once mature, is mostly done.

    I see a world in which we all get some generous Dependabot 2.0 on large forges because leaving so much software insecure otherwise is untenable, but once the software is not iterating a billion times a week, you're not introducing new classes of bugs just sitting there.

    You can have a frontier security model pentesting your program every night while you sleep and you can wake up knowing that whatever happens, you did the best you could.

    • motionlessveloc 1 hour ago
      Alas, our brave new LLM world is making iterating one billion releases per week all too easy.

      And on the positive side, LLMs make remediation much easier too. It took me around 15 minutes and a few dimes worth of DeepSeek tokens to upgrade some gnarly, janky, exploitable PHP 7.x code to the latest fully patched version of 8.3 today. Without LLMs, I would probably have been having a serious discussion about whether we should ditch the app entirely instead.

    • jimmar 1 hour ago
      > Most software, once mature, is mostly done.

      The caveat being that most software never matures. Maybe it's a cynical take, but virtually all software I use regularly is updated at least once a month. Right now, I'm using Chrome, and I see the "Relaunch to update" button waiting for me to press it. I see the arrow on the Ollama icon telling me I have to relaunch it to apply updates. I have Visual Studio Code running next to my browser, and two extensions need to be restarted to apply updates.

      But at least somebody is maintaining that software.

      • skydhash 44 minutes ago
        That’s three examples of software that are way more complex than they should have been for the general use cases.

        Yes, a lot of software do continuous development, but in a more stable manner, where they introduce some features, takes time to iron bugs out, and then release a new version. Meanwhile, the users only have to care about some small security fixes every now and then. When there’s no new features (especially when you’re not creating a kitchen sink), things can be calm for months and years.

  • ozim 36 minutes ago
    Not new normal.

    It already is a thing since I believe April as I follow cybersec.

    Last year May, June, July counts of sec bulbs was order of magnitude lower than this year.

    But idea is that it will not last forever. New code will be vuln checked by AI as well. So now we are in transition period that is awful but it won’t last.

  • swiftcoder 1 hour ago
    > Who knew a regex engine was such a security issue

    Anyone who has ever implemented a regex engine, I would imagine. Regex has always been a security nightmare, especially due to persistent attempts to use regexes to validate untrusted input

    • Aissen 1 hour ago
      > especially due to persistent attempts to use regexes to validate untrusted input

      This is not the case here, it's an untrusted regex which can be the issue.

  • beardedwizard 0 minutes ago
    what is "cyber"?
  • dotdi 1 hour ago
    > already being exploited in the wild [0]

    The article cites this commercial blog patting themselves on the back how they detect the exploit, yet after reading it I don't see any actual exploiting? Is scanning/probing the same as active exploitation all of a sudden?

    [0]: https://ellio.tech/en/blog/php2shell-what-we-observed-and-wh...

  • adverbly 50 minutes ago
    I can tell you, if it is, I'm going to be radically changing the software architectures and patterns that I am recommending to people.

    Data privacy and security must not be sacrificed.

    A shift is needed towards simplification and minimization of attack surfaces.

    I've entirely removed several dependencies which provide some pretty nice features, but unfortunately make things almost unmaintainable.

    I want to go much further though to simplify architectures themselves even if it makes far worse ux.

  • entropicabyss 33 minutes ago
    Yes, the PHP risks have been known, and partly assumed. I watched a group from MIT ignore sage advice on avoiding PHP but built their administration interface with it anyways. Now this device is deployed in heavy industry, in mining, in transportation, in healthcare, it's deployed everywhere and in multiple continents and in multiple huge cities. It's concerning that the recommendations we made were eshewed and they went ahead with this anyways and now we are in this situation. This group from MIT had formed a company, and they were bought by a large network device manufacturer. It's deeply deeply concerning.
  • Marha01 26 minutes ago
    This situation is temporary.

    It is obviously true that there can only be a finite number of serious security bugs in any given software. For a given level of LLM capability, there is a finite subset of these bugs that is actually discoverable and exploitable. Once this finite subset is exhausted, the tide of new vulnerabilities will stop.

    Perhaps we will see a few more tides like this, as LLM capabilities advance further. But there will be an end.

  • DarkNova6 17 minutes ago
    What confuses me the most is that nobody talks about the nature on how to exploit this vulnerability.

    This has been a well known vulnerability for years but considered too complicated to exploit. It is the type of work that would have taken an expert weeks to hack into a single system and the idea that an AI can speed this is up is not unfounded but currently without evidence.

    Yes, the attack surface is huge but when compared to Log4J this is materially more difficult to execute and the countless PoC that have been seen were AI slop.

    As a security expert I see why you would not want to downplay this, but I think the involved actors have all the incentive to use this for their typical messaging.

    As a tech community we have a greater responsibility to not be driven by hype but understand what is going on and let make ourselves some tools and be swayed by the messaging and instead talk about this in a more nuanced way. Perhaps I am wrong because I am not a cyber person myself but this all strikes me as similar to the whole Specter outrage.

  • sigmar 1 hour ago
    I'm not in a position to know. But Jason Clinton seemed to approximate "18 months" as an upper bound for the crisis period:

    >as bad as things have gotten in the past 4 days, they are going to get a lot worse before they get better. security leaders, never let a crisis go to waste: please go to your boards and ask for help right now. not for ai, for the basics. (we need to hold on for ~18 months.)

    https://x.com/JasonDClinton/status/2113325263157395456

  • csande17 58 minutes ago
    Is this the new normal, or just, uh, normal?

    Big embarrassing network-exploitable bugs in major open-source projects happen sometimes, and network-scanning attack botnets have been around forever. Small shady CAs mess things up sometimes. People upload malware to PyPI and NPM all the time, and "move fast and break things" software-deployment startups get breached all the time, to the point where it doesn't even really feel like news to me when those things happen again.

    It's unfortunate that a few of those events all happened at around the same time. But, like, even if that's not a coincidence and these events are actually happening more frequently, you should have been preparing for them anyway!

  • helterskelter2 1 hour ago
    I can't help but wonder if we're going to see the OS and browser maintainers begin streamlining code and reducing complexity. Software these days almost seems like a fractal of insecurity, the only way to make the problem more tractable is to reduce attack surface.
  • DrBazza 1 hour ago
    For now yes. When LLMs can iterate and test at speeds humans cannot, it is going to continue to find holes.

    An interesting side effect will be whether we accelerate moving towards memory safe languages (and development of more of those languages) in more sectors than just 'low-level'.

    Not forgetting that this is only one mitigation of cyber-attacks and exploits and potentially removes a whole category of attacks developed by analyzing *source code*

    • lenerdenator 36 minutes ago
      My concern is that while we could absolutely eliminate most security bugs through LLM-assisted scanning of source code written in deterministic languages, we are shifting away from deterministic languages because of LLMs themselves. Instead of having purpose-built programs to carry out computational tasks that have a tree of logic that you can trace out and formally prove, we're expecting a black box to guess what we want done and we can't prove what it will do.
  • DCKing 51 minutes ago
    It really depends on your gut feeling about how deep the rabbit holes in terms of number of game changer vulnerabilities.

    How many RCEs are in PHP of this kind? Many people would've said zero before. After the fixes, it may be zero again. It could be thousands, it could be eighty-six, it could be four, it could be zero. But even if you don't think it's zero again, most people will find themselves that there's probably not many left.

    Extend this to other world ecosystem - how many high impact devastating security bugs are there? Dozens, hundreds, thousands, millions? At least when it comes to open source security, there has to be some low upper bound given how countable the number of projects there are where impact could be high and most have taken some care for their quality (despite obvious hardships). And while closed source software is harder to reason about (also on the ecosystem level), if there's a low upper bound for open source software surely the bound for closed source software can't be many orders of magnitude higher.

    We now have new tools that allows us to discover these. Both the discovery as well as changes in the development process most are taken should bring these numbers closer to zero again. The main question is - are we working through a small backlog of issues, or a very deep one with no practical end? I'm still inclined to believe it's a manageable backlog, but I'm an optimist and everybody's intuitions differ on this.

  • mattbrewsbytes 1 hour ago
    People running old versions and not applying patches rigorously is also normal. Its been normal for decades, nobody likes doing maintenance so it gets forgotten or ignored.
  • mrshadowgoose 45 minutes ago
    No. This is just the start. It's going to get way worse before it gets better.
  • leftouterjoins 1 hour ago
    It’s mostly hype. Days in now and nobody can exploit the PHP vuln. Yawn.
    • VCFundedGenYer 14 minutes ago
      That's not true. The vuln was exploited and utilized within minutes of the disclosure.
    • ishouldnotbutk8 1 hour ago
      There was a literal PoC video that started the panic, then multiple writeups. It's not hard (for people who know what they're doing) to exploit the PHP vuln. It's just not one exploit to rule every PHP installation anywhere, since this is a low-level exploit that needs to bypass ASLR, instead of a logic bug - so you need to tweak your exploit for every architecture, system, configuration, etc. And you need to know a fair bit about your target.

      The response was overblown, but your dismissive reaction is too far in the other direction.

      • brovonov 51 minutes ago
        It had an anime dancing girl on it, must be serious.
      • zkldi 51 minutes ago
        Hi, I wrote the blog post and wish I'd just written your exact words instead.

        A lot of the lab PoCs still use contrivances (ignoring the ones that are disabling ASLR or just inserting `vulnerable.php` files on the server) that you don't really get in the real world - even the requirement of having to heap groom the same PHP worker repeatedly and sequentially is quite hard to exploit if the website has traffic. (this is why some of the slop PoCs reconfigure apache to have one worker, or pin WORKERS-1 with infinitely long requests).

        This is in stark contrast to other, more severe vulns that the internet has seen (and will see in the near future) where there's effectively a blank cheque to fuck anything that is unpatched. This is not a blank cheque. It is still bad.

        This doesnt matter though - luck and statistics are not serious security walls. Patch your servers.

    • GaggiX 1 hour ago
      LiveOverflow has exploited the PHP vulnerability, it’s even linked in the article.
  • roenxi 1 hour ago
    > Is this the new cyber normal?

    No. We're in a "brief" [0] transition period where a scaleable superhuman developer enters the scene and discovers a whole heap of bugs. Once the majority of code is written by similar systems then the tide of critical bugs being found will slow down.

    The article does sorta say this but lets not bury the lede to deeply. It isn't realistic to expect new security vulnerabilities to be found at this rate, we're clearing out years of backlog and the maintainers haven't had time to deploy AI to do the software right the first time. Once the situation stabilises I'd personally expect very few public vulnerabilities because the expertise in how to assess code security is moving from a handful of experts to everyone.

    > The NHS approach: close source everything.

    Yeah good luck. I've seen how these systems work at decompiling and I expect they're probably going to be really good at fuzzing too.

    [0] Could take a while.

    • ninkendo 1 hour ago
      > Once the majority of code is written by similar systems then the tide of critical bugs being found will slow down.

      I don’t know if this necessarily follows. I repeatedly see that AI will write code, then you have it audit the code for security vulnerabilities, and it still finds them. Just because AI can find bugs doesn’t mean it will write bug-free code. AI’s know how to take shortcuts to achieve their goals, and do it all the time.

      Yes, you can have another AI audit the first AI’s code, but in practice this doesn’t always happen, especially because once the human gets their hands on the finished product, they don’t always take the extra step to ensure it’s audited. This is particularly true because people seem to think “well the AI wrote it in the first place, why would it find its own bugs?”, ignoring that context is everything, and an AI being asked to find bugs is going to approach the code a lot differently than an AI tasked with adding features.

      That’s not to say it’s not possible to set things up properly into multi-agent stages with QA and security as first-class phases of development… I only mean to say that it’s not automatically true that “AI can find bugs” implies “AI doesn’t produce bugs”.

    • MadrasTh0rn 1 hour ago
      >It isn't realistic to expect new security vulnerabilities to be found at this rate

      I wouldn't challenge fate like this.

    • clivedup 1 hour ago
      +1. There aren't an infinite amount of serious security vulnerabilities out there.

      > > The NHS approach: close source everything.

      > Yeah good luck. I've seen how these systems work at decompiling and I expect they're probably going to be really good at fuzzing too.

      Me too. The agents are much faster if it has access to source. NHS would have been easy hunting grounds. Now at least they don't stand out.

      "a system should be secure, even if everything about the system—except the key—is public knowledge"

      Should indeed, but we've all been caught with our pants down.

  • shevy-java 20 minutes ago
    > Even though this was found by “responsible security researchers” at “respectable companies”, by the time the security patch actually got released, it was already being exploited in the wild.

    I am really not pleased with the "let's delay" strategy. IMO, you should without any delay, let everyone know of security-related issues. This "try to keep it hidden so that malicious actors can not exploit" is incredibly unfair to everyone else. Why would I want to support that? I want to know the exploit, I want it explained and then, in that order, I also expect that it can be fixed eventually. This closed-source thinking is very annoying. If one LLM can find an exploit, so can others, so what's with the delay?

  • LoganDark 26 minutes ago
    PHP made a mistake by trying to hold back the fix. That's really all it was. It's not okay to do that. They literally chose to keep it unpatchable while it was being exploited in the wild. That's on them.
  • yomismoaqui 1 hour ago
    Am I the only one that hates seeing "cyber" when refering to cybersecurity?

    The same with "crypto" to refer to cryptocoins instead of cryptography.

  • lenerdenator 44 minutes ago
    Somewhat. I take heart in the fact that people actually took the "website down now" messaging seriously and that there was a quick patch to address the issue. It'll still be an arms race between red team and blue team, just faster paced.
  • efilife 1 hour ago
    By generating the entire website in AI, yes, you are contributing to the new normal
  • jmyeet 52 minutes ago
    I'm a bit of an AI doomer but I'm going to disagree. I don't think this is the new mormal but there is going to be a dark transitional period.

    What we're seeing is a bit of a "gold rush" where LLm advancements are coming thick and fast and they're being pointed out code bases that simply haven't had the level of scrutiny where relatively easy bugs to find have managed to survive. That's temporary. Here are my predictions:

    1. Correctness and, in particular, memory safety is going to become increasingly important. I was bullish on Rust before this AI hype wave. LLMs finding and exploiting bugs has reinforced just important it is that Rust prevents as certain class of bugs that are the most prone to rmote exploitation ie certain memory safety issues.

    I've long said that modern CPU architectures, out-of-order execution, hyperthreading (does that still exist? or did Intel fully kill it?), different CPU cores and compiler optimizations that it is essentially impossible for a human to write correct multithreaded code, particularly in userspace with "leaf node" code. LLMs just make that more apparent; and

    2. Mature code bases for core functionality are going to become increasingly important because they've been "proven" in the wild (as much as you can prove a negative).

    My sincerest hope, which is probably more wishful thinking than anything else, is that LLMs will be another nail in the coffin for C++, which is simply too complex and dragged down with legacy features and backwards compatibility to be salvageable.

  • bcvvvy 1 hour ago
    Not for me. I’m taking my shit offline. Out of harms way.
  • aeon_ai 1 hour ago
    > At the time of writing (23rd Oct), eMudhra has announced that it will be retiring from the certificate authority space. In unrelated news, a farmer has announced that he has shut his stable door, following reports of an escaped horse.

    Ah, wit is alive and strong!

  • dreamcompiler 1 hour ago
    LLMs seem to be very good at detecting vulnerabilities caused by using C and other forms of human stupidity.

    So yes.

  • VCFundedGenYer 15 minutes ago
    I hope not. A lot of LLM assisted vulnerability stuff has been noise, slop, fluff, or fake/false data. Drowns out the real issues.
  • giozadi 54 minutes ago
    [flagged]
  • georgestones 48 minutes ago
    [dead]
  • turbobutton 1 hour ago
    [dead]
  • sick_of_slop 23 minutes ago
    [dead]
  • TutleCpt 1 hour ago
    These are all human-generated software bugs. At some point when AI writes all code, the bugs should all but disappear. Almost.
    • CER10TY 1 hour ago
      Bold of you to assume that AI-written and -reviewed code doesn't introduce new vulnerabilities. I think after we're done with this stretch of finding human-made vulnerabilities, we'll have a long road ahead to clean up the mess that's introduced by AI.
      • Marha01 14 minutes ago
        > Bold of you to assume that AI-written and -reviewed code doesn't introduce new vulnerabilities.

        If AI can find a vulnerability in a given piece of code, it can also do so during testing, not only when used by a malicious actor. This means that the whole thing becomes an issue only if someone is writing a safety-critical program and not doing proper LLM safety testing.

        Everyone should use LLMs to test the safety of their code today.

    • pegasus 1 hour ago
      The bugs will only disappear until the model that was used to security test the generated code becomes obsoleted. So, yes, this is the new cyber normal. Unless we replace the tech stack with a formally verified one. Which will need to happen, one way or another, seems to me. But cheap & sloppy generated code won't be feasible in this paradigm, so I believe we'll need a much more thoughtful approach.
      • thomashabets2 40 minutes ago
        > The bugs will only disappear until the model that was used to security test the generated code becomes obsoleted.

        I think you're ignoring the distinct possibility that even if the code is not formally verified, LLMs could simply stop writing bugs, or this kind of bugs. No matter how smart an attacker AI, it cannot exploit bugs that are simply not there.

        But hell, even formally verified ones can only verify back to the spec. There are plenty of examples of bugs in formally verified software.

        I place a higher likelihood on LLMs winning (producing fewer bugs than formally verified) over the long run. Mostly because verified software can, IIUC, only verify back to the spec. Whereas LLMs can go "uh, your spec itself has a bug, you really want me to codify that?".

    • numpad0 57 minutes ago
      Allegedly AIs sometimes even forget to implement authentication for APIs, in the way anyone can just call them. So no, bugs will continue to exist, we've just magically got tons more supply of economical labor.
    • ninkendo 1 hour ago
      I think that’s a fallacy, see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50207540
    • joenada 1 hour ago
      1. The average human software-generator sucks at security. 2. LLMs are trained on human-generated software. 3. Therefore, LLMs suck at security.